THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR HAITI HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…

* JAMAICA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…

* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY…LAS TUNAS…GRANMA…SANTIAGO DE

CUBA…HOLGUIN…AND GUANTANAMO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…

* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…

* THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE

AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH  AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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AT 200 PM EDT…1800 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1  ORTH…LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST. SANDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H.  A NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF SANDY WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY…AND APPROACH EASTERN CUBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS…AND SANDY IS FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES JAMAICA ON

WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB…29.32 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH JAMAICA TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY…WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF HAITI ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN CUBA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY.

RAINFALL…SANDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA…HAITI…THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES

POSSIBLE…ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE…A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COAST OF JAMAICA.  NEAR THE COAST…THE SURGE WILL BE

ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

NEXT ADVISORY

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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

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