The world’s largest vaccine maker is producing 40 million units of a coronavirus vaccine on trial in Oxford, without knowing whether it works

  • The Serum Institute of India says it will start production of an experimental COVID-19 vaccine while the vaccine is still being tested.
  • The Oxford Vaccine Group on Thursday started human trials on its hAdOx1 nCoV-19 coronavirus vaccine, and they aren’t expected to be finished until September.
  • Even when September arrives, however, there is no guarantee the vaccine will have worked.
  • “The decision — at our own risk and cost — has been solely taken to get a jump-start on manufacturing,” Serum Institute CEO Adar Poonawalla said on Monday.

The world’s largest vaccine maker is mass-producing a COVID-19 vaccine developed by the University of Oxford without knowing whether it works.

The Serum Institute of India, which produces 1.5 billion vaccine doses a year for an array of diseases, says it will start production before the targeted completion date of the Oxford trial.

The Oxford Vaccine Group says it hopes to complete human trials on the hAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine in September.

The first two humans were injected with the vaccine on Thursday in Oxford, England. About 1,100 people in the UK are expected to be injected as part of the trial, which is funded by the UK government.

“We may get enough data in a couple of months to see if the vaccine works, but if transmission levels drop, this could take up to six months,” the group said on Thursday.

The group hopes to produce 1 million doses of the vaccine itself by September.

But Adar Poonawalla, the CEO of the Serum Institute of India, told The Times of India on Monday that he would not wait that long.

He said the institute would produce 5 million units of the vaccine a month, for six months, to get ahead of demand.

“We are not waiting for the trials to get over in September in UK, and then start production here,” he said. “The decision — at our own risk and cost — has been solely taken to get a jump-start on manufacturing, to have enough doses available, if the clinical trials prove successful.

PUNE, INDIA - NOVEMBER 10: Prince Charles, Prince of Wales visits the Serum Institute on Day 5 of an official visit to India on November 10, 2013 in Pune, India. This will be the Royal couple's third official visit to India together and their most extensive yet, which will see them spending nine days in India and afterwards visiting Sri Lanka in order to attend the 2013 Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting. (Photo by Arthur Edwards - Pool/Getty Images)
Prince Charles visiting the Serum Institute in November 2013.
Arthur Edwards – Pool/Getty Images

“We aim to manufacture 4 to 5 million doses per month for the first six months, following which, we might scale up to 10 million doses per month, based on the success of trials. We are looking to build it up to 20-40 million doses by September-October.”

“We are planning to make the vaccine available at an affordable price of around 1,000 rupees ($13) in India,” he added. Drug prices vary widely around the world, and the same treatment often costs many times more in other countries.

Sarah Gilbert, a professor who is leading Oxford’s attempt to develop a vaccine, said on April 11 that September was a realistic date to expect a vaccine that could work.

“I think there’s a high chance that it will work based on other things that we have done with this type of vaccine,” she said.

Poonawalla previously told Business Insider India that his company would not patent the vaccine.

“We don’t want to make money from and commercialize something beyond a sustainable level in such a public-health epidemic,” he said.

About 80 vaccines are in development around the world, according to the BBC.

The Oxford scientists started developing a vaccine on January 10 and said on March 18 they had found a promising candidate.

Gilbert and her team previously developed a vaccine for Middle East Respiratory Syndrome.

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